The 2024 U.S. presidential election has brought significant changes to the financial landscape. Markets surged initially, buoyed by optimism, but as the dust settled, reality set in, and a more cautious outlook emerged. For wealth builders, whether you’re a business owner, planning for retirement, or managing newfound wealth—understanding these shifts is key to staying ahead.
Let’s explore what the market’s movements mean for your financial strategy as we head into 2025.
The Post-Election Rally: A Boost of Optimism
The initial market response to the election was overwhelmingly positive:
The S&P 500 jumped 2.5% the day after the election, marking its most substantial post-election day gain in decades.
Small-cap stocks, energy, and financial sectors saw particularly strong performances.
Expectations of a business-friendly policy environment fueled this rally:
Lower corporate tax rates: Investors anticipated relief that could boost profitability for many industries.
Economic growth policies: Proposals like income tax cuts and deregulation fueled optimism among small-business owners and entrepreneurs.
Improved small-business sentiment: Many saw the election as an opportunity for growth-friendly economic policies.
For business owners, this optimism mirrored opportunities for expansion, increased profitability, and potentially lower tax burdens. It offered a promising start to the new year for retirees and investors.
The Cooling Period: A Reality Check
By mid-November, the markets began to pull back:
The S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq gave up some of their initial gains.
Treasury yields climbed, reflecting the reassessment of initial expectations.
This cooling period reminds us that markets often react emotionally to major events before settling into a more measured view. For investors and wealth planners, this is a moment to evaluate risks and opportunities without getting caught up in short-term volatility.
Lingering Questions as We Move Into 2025
The market shift highlights more profound questions about what the new administration’s policies could mean for the economy and financial planning. Here’s what wealth-builders like you should consider:
1. How Will Inflation Impact Your Finances?
Policies such as tariffs and reduced immigration may push inflation higher, potentially increasing costs for businesses and households.
What to Do: For retirees and sudden wealthy beneficiaries, consider how inflation might erode your purchasing power. Business owners should evaluate cost structures and consider adjusting pricing or locking in fixed rates where possible.
2. How Will International Trade Policy Affect Growth?
Proposed tariffs and "America First" policies may disrupt supply chains and increase costs for businesses that rely on international trade.
What to Do: Business owners should assess supply chain risks and explore alternative sourcing strategies. Investors in multinational corporations should consider how trade tensions might impact profitability.
3. What’s the Tech Sector’s Outlook?
While some tech companies have thrived in post-election, questions about regulation and innovation remain.
What to Do: Tech entrepreneurs should stay ahead of regulatory changes, while investors should look for opportunities in companies well-positioned to adapt to evolving policies.
4. What About Taxes and the Federal Deficit?
Proposed tax cuts could benefit individuals and businesses in the short term but may lead to higher deficits and interest rates in the long term.
What to Do: Business owners should prepare for changes in tax laws that could accelerate income or deductions in 2024. Retirees and wealth holders should revisit their tax strategies to minimize liabilities.
5. How Will Energy Policies Affect Costs?
Pro-drilling stances may lower energy prices, but geopolitical risks, such as sanctions on Iran, could cause volatility.
What to Do: If rising energy costs represent a significant portion of your business or personal expenses, consider hedging against them.
What This Means for Your Financial Strategy
As we move into 2025, the financial landscape will likely remain unpredictable, but wealth builders know the value of staying proactive:
Diversify Your Approach: A mix of investments, income streams, and tax strategies can help you navigate uncertainty.
Stay Flexible: Economic and policy changes may require adjustments to your financial plan.
Plan for the Long Term: Short-term market movements shouldn’t distract you from your broader goals.
Whether you’re focused on growing your business, preparing for retirement, or safeguarding newfound wealth, now is the time to ensure your financial strategy is resilient and aligned with your goals.
Looking Ahead: Prepare for What’s Next
Post-election periods often offer both opportunities and challenges. With thoughtful planning, you can position yourself to thrive no matter what happens next.
Let’s work together to build a strategy that helps protect and grow your wealth for the years ahead.