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That IRS Letter in Your Mailbox: What Actually Triggers an Audit

That IRS Letter in Your Mailbox: What Actually Triggers an Audit

That IRS Letter in Your Mailbox: What Actually Triggers an Audit

Bellevue, Washington taxpayer opening an IRS letter at the kitchen table

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You open your mailbox and see an envelope with the IRS logo in the corner. Your stomach drops before you've even opened it. Will you owe more money? Do you need a lawyer? How long will this drag on?

An audit is one of the most stressful pieces of mail a person can receive — even when you've done nothing wrong. The good news: audits are rare, and most of them are avoidable once you know what actually catches the IRS's attention.

The Odds Are Low — But Not Even

Individual audit rates have been falling for years. The overall audit coverage rate dropped from 0.6% for Tax Year 2015 to just 0.3% for Tax Year 2021, according to the IRS Data Book for Fiscal Year 2025.

But "rare" doesn't mean you should play the odds as your only strategy to defend against audits. Your actual odds depend heavily on your income and how your return is put together. Here's how the odds break down:

Total Positive Income

Audit Rate

Approx. Odds

Primary Audit Type

No Positive Income

1.8%

1 in 56

Correspondence (credits/returns)

$1 – $25,000

0.5%

1 in 200

Correspondence

$25,000 – $50,000

0.2%

1 in 500

Correspondence

$50,000 – $75,000

0.2%

1 in 500

Correspondence

$75,000 – $100,000

0.2%

1 in 500

Correspondence

$100,000 – $200,000

0.2%

1 in 500

Correspondence

$200,000 – $500,000

0.2%

1 in 500

Correspondence / Field

$500,000 – $1 million

0.6%

1 in 167

Field / Complex

$1 million – $5 million

0.9%

1 in 111

Field / Complex

$5 million – $10 million

3.9%

1 in 26

Field / Complex

$10 million or more

6.6%

1 in 15

Field / Complex

EITC Claimants (Overall)

0.7%

1 in 143

Correspondence


Correspondence audits are handled entirely by mail — the IRS asks for documentation on a specific item. Field audits involve direct contact with an IRS agent and tend to be more thorough, more invasive, and more stressful.

5 Mistakes That Get Ordinary Taxpayers Flagged

Most audits aren't the result of bad luck. They're triggered by patterns the IRS's computers are specifically built to catch. Here are the most common ones:

  1. Deductions that don't match your income.  Claiming a home office, meals, or a charitable gift that's much larger than what someone at your income level typically reports invites a second look — even when every dollar is legitimate.

  2. Running a cash-heavy business.  Restaurants, salons, and other businesses that run heavily on cash have a well-documented history of underreported income, so the IRS pays closer attention to them by default.

  3. Being self-employed with high expenses relative to income.  Independent contractors and small business owners who write off a high percentage of their income as expenses stand out, especially if profit margins look thin year after year.

  4. Numbers that look off.  Reporting suspiciously round numbers, claiming a business loss several years in a row, or showing income that doesn't fit your line of work all raise red flags in the IRS's screening system.

  5. Forgetting income the IRS already knows about.  This is the most avoidable mistake on the list. If a number on your return doesn't match what your employer or client already reported to the IRS on a W-2 or 1099, it's a near-automatic trigger for a correspondence audit.

What to Actually Do About It

The instinct to under-claim deductions out of fear is understandable — but it's the wrong move. You're entitled to every deduction and credit you legally qualify for. The goal isn't to claim less; it's to be able to back up what you claim.

  • Keep documentation as you go.  Save receipts, mileage logs, and invoices for anything unusual or large relative to your income — not just at tax time, but as the expense happens.

  • Double-check every income document.  Cross-check every W-2 and 1099 you receive against your return before you file. This single habit closes off the most common — and most easily avoidable — audit trigger.

  • Don't leave money on the table.  Don't let audit anxiety talk you out of a deduction you're entitled to. A well-documented deduction that gets questioned is a quick conversation. A skipped deduction is money you didn't have to lose.

The bottom line: an audit letter is unsettling, but for most taxpayers it's also unlikely — and almost always traceable to one of the patterns above. Good records are the difference between a stressful audit and a five-minute one.

For Further Reading

https://www.irs.gov/statistics/soi-tax-stats-irs-data-book (IRS Data Book — source of the audit-rate figures)

https://www.irs.gov/businesses/small-businesses-self-employed/irs-audits

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Fulcrum Wealth Advisors
10940 NE 33rd Pl.
Suite #210
Bellevue, WA 98004

(844) 621-0630
info@fulcrumwa.com

Fulcrum Wealth Advisors, LLC (“FWA”) is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Registration as an investment adviser does not imply a certain level of skill or training.

This website is provided for informational and educational purposes only and is intended to provide general information about FWA, its services, and investment-related topics. Nothing contained on this website constitutes investment advice, nor should it be construed as a recommendation, solicitation, or offer to buy or sell any security or investment product. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. There is no assurance that any investment strategy will be successful.

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Tax and Legal Disclaimer: FWA does not provide tax or legal advice. Information on this website should not be construed as tax or legal advice. You are encouraged to consult with qualified tax and legal professionals regarding your specific situation.

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© 2026 Fulcrum Wealth Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.​

Website design: Radically Distinct

Fulcrum Wealth Advisors
10940 NE 33rd Pl.
Suite #210
Bellevue, WA 98004

(844) 621-0630
info@fulcrumwa.com

Fulcrum Wealth Advisors, LLC (“FWA”) is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Registration as an investment adviser does not imply a certain level of skill or training.

This website is provided for informational and educational purposes only and is intended to provide general information about FWA, its services, and investment-related topics. Nothing contained on this website constitutes investment advice, nor should it be construed as a recommendation, solicitation, or offer to buy or sell any security or investment product. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. There is no assurance that any investment strategy will be successful.

Investment advisory services are provided only pursuant to a written investment advisory agreement entered into between FWA and its clients.

Jurisdictional Limitations: FWA provides investment advisory services only in jurisdictions where it is appropriately registered, exempt, or excluded from registration requirements. The information on this website is not directed to, or intended for use by, any person in any jurisdiction where such use would be contrary to applicable laws or regulations.

Any subsequent, direct communication by FWA with a prospective client shall be conducted by a representative who is either registered or qualifies for an exemption or exclusion in the jurisdiction where the prospective client resides.

No Personalized Advice: The information presented on this website is general in nature and does not take into account the individual financial circumstances, investment objectives, or risk tolerance of any specific person. Visitors to this website should not rely on any information herein as a substitute for personalized advice from FWA or from their own financial, tax, or legal professionals.

Testimonials, Endorsements & Third-Party Ratings: This website may include testimonials, endorsements, or third-party ratings. Such testimonials or endorsements are not representative of all clients, and no assurance is given that a current or prospective client will experience the same or similar results.

Where applicable, material conflicts of interest and whether compensation was provided in connection with a testimonial or endorsement are disclosed in accordance with applicable SEC regulations. Testimonials, endorsements, and ratings are not a guarantee of future performance or success.

Tax and Legal Disclaimer: FWA does not provide tax or legal advice. Information on this website should not be construed as tax or legal advice. You are encouraged to consult with qualified tax and legal professionals regarding your specific situation.

Third-Party Links: This website may contain links to third-party websites for convenience or informational purposes. We review the links when they are added and periodically thereafter and have a reasonable basis for believing they convey accurate information relevant to our clients. FWA does not control or assume responsibility for the content, ongoing accuracy, security, or privacy practices of any third-party websites. Accessing such links is at your own risk, and you are not required to link to any information we make available on our website.

© 2026 Fulcrum Wealth Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.​

Website design: Radically Distinct